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Könyv Disaggregation of ensemble forecasts for improved water management Gaborit Etienne

Disaggregation of ensemble forecasts for improved water management

Szerző: Gaborit Etienne
Nyelv: Angol
Kötés: Puha kötésű
Kiadó: Scholars' Press
Elérhetőség: Beszállítói készleten
Küldés 5-8 napon belül
30 874 Ft
This research project demonstrates the interest of applying a spatial downscaling technique to ensem...

Információk a könyvről

Szerző
Gaborit Etienne
Nyelv
Angol
Kötés
Könyv - Puha kötésű
Kiadva
2014
oldal
216
EAN
9783639704938
ISBN
3639704932
Enbook ID
09147660
Kiadó
Scholars' Press
Súly
322
Méretek
152 x 229 x 12

Teljes leírás

This research project demonstrates the interest of applying a spatial downscaling technique to ensemble rainfall forecasts from Environment Canada's Global Environmental Multiscale model (2009 version), and proposes innovative and effective real-time control strategies (sometimes relying on the downscaled forecasts) of an urban stormwater detention pond. Ensemble rainfall forecasts are indeed valuable in the field of water management for their explicit and dynamic assessment of the associated uncertainty. However, for hydrological forecasting, their low resolution currently limits their use to large watersheds. Therefore, this research project explores rendering the forecasts more appropriate for small catchments by bringing them from a 100 by 70-km resolution down to 6 by 4 km, using the method of Perica and Foufoula-Georgiou (1996). The downscaled forecasts are evaluated in three ways: comparing the rainfall amounts to observations, evaluating Hydrologic forecasts resulting from their use, and by assessing their interest when used for decision making, in this case by demonstrating that a stormwater detention pond's efficiency is improved when using the forecast information.

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