Probably Overthinking It – How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions

Name: Probably Overthinking It – How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions
Brand: University of Chicago Press
SKU: 9780226822587
Price: 7102 HUF
Availability: InStock

Szerző: Allen B. Downey

Nyelv:

Kötés: Kemény kötésű

Kiadó: University of Chicago Press

Elérhetőség: Beszállítói készleten alacsony példányszámban

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An essential guide to the ways data can improve decision making. Statistics are everywhere: in news...

Információk a könyvről

Szerző

Allen B. Downey

Nyelv

Angol

Kötés

Könyv - Kemény kötésű

Kiadva

2023

oldal

256

EAN

9780226822587

ISBN

0226822583

Enbook ID

43086003

Kiadó

University of Chicago Press

Súly

576

Méretek

6 x 9

Teljes leírás

An essential guide to the ways data can improve decision making. Statistics are everywhere: in news reports, at the doctor’s office, and in every sort of forecast, from the stock market to the weather. Blogger, teacher, and computer scientist Allen B. Downey knows well that people have an innate ability both to understand statistics and to be fooled by them. As he makes clear in this accessible introduction to statistical thinking, the stakes are big. Simple misunderstandings have led to incorrect medical prognoses, underestimated the likelihood of large earthquakes, hindered social justice efforts, and resulted in dubious policy decisions. There are right and wrong ways to look at numbers, and Downey will help you see which are which. Probably Overthinking It uses real data to delve into real examples with real consequences, drawing on cases from health campaigns, political movements, chess rankings, and more. He lays out common pitfalls—like the base rate fallacy, length-biased sampling, and Simpson’s paradox—and shines a light on what we learn when we interpret data correctly, and what goes wrong when we don’t. Using data visualizations instead of equations, he builds understanding from the basics to help you recognize errors, whether in your own thinking or in media reports. Even if you have never studied statistics—or if you have and forgot everything you learned—this book will offer new insight into the methods and measurements that help us understand the world.

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Probably Overthinking It – How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions

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