Könyv Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks Craig E. Taylor

Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks

The Path from Single-Solution to Competitive, Multi-Solution Methods for Mega-Risk Management

Szerző: Craig E. Taylor
Nyelv: Angol
Kötés: Puha kötésű
Elérhetőség: Beszállítói készleten
Küldés 5-8 napon belül
19 761 Ft
This book introduces a new way of analyzing, measuring and thinking about mega-risks, a "paradigm sh...

Információk a könyvről

Szerző
Nyelv
Angol
Kötés
Könyv - Puha kötésű
Kiadva
2016
oldal
164
EAN
9783319369075
ISBN
3319369075
Enbook ID
18051348
Súly
2934
Méretek
155 x 235 x 11

Teljes leírás

This book introduces a new way of analyzing, measuring and thinking about mega-risks, a "paradigm shift" that moves from single-solutions to multiple competitive solutions and strategies. "Robust simulation" is a statistical approach that demonstrates future risk through simulation of a suite of possible answers. To arrive at this point, the book systematically walks through the historical statistical methods for evaluating risks. The first chapters deal with three theories of probability and statistics that have been dominant in the 20th century, along with key mathematical issues and dilemmas. The book then introduces "robust simulation" which solves the problem of measuring the stability of simulated losses, incorporates outliers, and simulates future risk through a suite of possible answers and stochastic modeling of unknown variables. This book discusses various analytical methods for utilizing divergent solutions in making pragmatic financial and risk-mitigation decisions. The book emphasizes the importance of flexibility and attempts to demonstrate that alternative credible approaches are helpful and required in understanding a great many phenomena.

Érdekelheti

Jacob Wrestling With The Angel

Friedrich Wilh Krummacher
10 657 Ft
992 Ft

Nutrition Map

Yvonne Quinones Syto
4 964 Ft
13 804 Ft
7 367 Ft

Bad Boy

Peter Robinson
5 037 Ft
18 874 Ft
11 212 Ft

Tynan Letters

Kenneth Tynan
12 438 Ft

Everything Asian

Sung J. Woo
7 265 Ft

On the Slow Train Again

Michael Williams
6 788 Ft
131 222 Ft

Azok a vásárlók, akik ezt a könyvet megvásárolták, a következőket is megvásárolták

14 155 Ft

ET PERSONNE NE SAIT

PHILIPPE FOREST
7 251 Ft

Ihre Vampir-Beschutzer

Thorn J.R. Thorn
5 649 Ft

Düsseldorf - gestern und heute

Andrea (Stadtarchiv Düsseldorf) Trudewind
5 693 Ft
12 013 Ft
7 719 Ft

Hurlebois

Jean-Louis Magnon
8 298 Ft